Northwest Living | Bellingham Real Estate Market

WASHINGTON — Senators agreed Wednesday to extend a popular tax credit for first-time homebuyers and to offer a reduced credit to some repeat buyers. 

The tax credit provides up to $8,000 to first-time homebuyers but is set to expire at the end of November. The Commerce Department said Wednesday that new homes sales fell 3.6 percent in September, and some industry representatives blamed uncertainty about the tax credit. 

Senators agreed to extend the existing tax credit for first-time homebuyers while offering a reduced credit of up to $6,500 to repeat buyers who have owned their current homes for at least five years, said Regan Lachapelle, a spokeswoman for Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid, D-Nev. 

The tax credits would be available to homebuyers who sign sales agreements by the end of April. They would have until the end of June to close on their new homes, according to a summary of the legislation being circulated among lawmakers. 

Senators were still negotiating the expansion of a separate tax credit that lets money-losing businesses get refunds for taxes paid in previous years, providing them with an immediate source of cash. 

Senators in both political parties were hoping to add both tax provisions to a bill that would give people running out of unemployment insurance benefits up to 20 more weeks of federal aid. The Senate could vote on the overall bill as early as Thursday, but lawmakers were still haggling over several unrelated amendments Wednesday evening. 

Popular bills like the one to extend unemployment benefits often attract amendments that would have a difficult time passing on their own. 

Republicans were demanding that they be given a chance to offer amendments to restrict federal aid to the beleaguered community activist group ACORN and on requiring that people receiving unemployment insurance be processed through E-Verify, an Internet-based system that employers use to check on the immigration status of new hires. 

Majority Democrats have refused to add the amendments. 

If the Senate passes the bill, it would go to the House, which passed a similar bill extending unemployment benefits last month. House leaders have also said they support extending the tax credit for homebuyers. 

Sen. Chris Dodd, D-Conn., has been negotiating for several weeks with Sen. Johnny Isakson, R-Ga., to craft an extended tax credit for homebuyers that would pass the Senate. 

Lawmakers didn’t release a cost estimate for extending the tax credit, though similar proposals were projected to cost about $10 billion. 

Industry representatives said uncertainty about the tax credit is hurting new home sales. September’s decline was the first since March. 

It takes 45 days to 60 days to close on a house, making it unlikely a sale made today would be consummated by the end of November, said Lucien Salvant, spokesman for the National Association of Realtors. 

“Buyers right now have an incentive to hold off, not knowing whether the credit will be extended,” Salvant said. 

About 1.4 million first-time homebuyers have qualified for the credit through August. The National Association of Realtors estimates that 350,000 of them would not have purchased their homes without the credit. 

The tax credit for money-losing businesses is a favorite among Republican lawmakers. Businesses could get tax refunds by using losses from 2008 and 2009 to offset taxable profits made in the previous five years. Under current law, they can only offset profits from the previous two years. 

The provision would help a variety of industries, including retailers, manufacturers and home builders, though it’s expensive. 

“It’s clearly a way to put cash in the hands of some major economic players,” said Clint Stretch, a tax policy expert at Deloitte Tax. 

A similar proposal that was ultimately dropped from the economic stimulus package enacted in February would have cost nearly $20 billion over 10 years. Lawmakers are working to reduce the price tag. 

“Because everybody is so cash strapped, this is a good way to get refund when businesses need it for operating expenses,” said Rachelle Bernstein, vice president and tax counsel for the National Retail Federation.

Jerry Campbell - Muljat Group - Bellingham WA - Bellingham Real Estate

The U.S. housing market has started to recover from the most far-reaching crisis since the Great Depression, data released Thursday shows.

Sales of previously occupied homes rose for the third month in a row in June, the National Association of Realtors reported. That hasn’t happened since early 2004, during the boom.

“The turnaround in the housing market appears finally to be here and indeed may be gaining some speed,” wrote Joel Naroff, president of Naroff Economic Advisors Inc.

Stocks jumped on the news, with the Dow Jones industrial average rising above 9,000 for the first time since early January.

Home sales rose 3.6 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.89 million last month, from a downwardly revised pace of 4.72 million in May. Sales were up in all four regions of the country.

It was the highest level of sales since last October and beat economists’ expectations. Sales had been expected to rise to an annual pace of 4.84 million units, according to Thomson Reuters.

In another encouraging sign, the share of foreclosures on the market is shrinking. About one out of three homes sold in June was foreclosure-related, down from nearly half earlier this year.

And the glut of homes up for sale dwindled to 3.8 million. That’s a 9.4-month supply at the current sales pace and another important sign of a recovery. When the market balances at a 7-month supply prices should begin to stabilize, the Realtors’s group said.

That probably won’t happen until next year because of a backlog of foreclosures that have yet to come on to the market. The median sales price was $181,800 in June, down 15 percent from year-ago levels but up slightly from $174,700 in May.

Nevertheless, prices have risen for three straight months in about half of the 55 major metropolitan areas tracked by the Associated Press-Re/Max Housing Report, also released Thursday.

Jerry Campbell - The Muljat Group - Bellingham WA - Bellingham Homes For Sale

Initial construction of U.S. homes unexpectedly surged in February, after falling for eight months, according to a government report released Tuesday.Housing starts rose to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 583,000 last month, up 22% from a revised 477,000 in January, according to the Commerce Department. It was the first time housing starts increased since June, when they rose 11%.

Economists were expecting housing starts to decline to 450,000, according to consensus estimates compiled by Briefing.com. Still, starts are down more than 47% from February 2008, when over 1.1 million new homes broke ground.

New construction of single-family homes, considered the core of the housing market, increased 1.1% to an annual rate of 357,000 versus 353,000 in January.

February’s increase was driven by a nearly 80% increase in construction of multi-family homes. New construction of buildings with 5 or more units increased surged 80% to 212,000 from 118,000 in January. 

Applications for building permits, considered a reliable sign of future construction activity, rose 3% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 547,000 last month. Economists were expecting permits to fall to 500,000.

While the surge in new construction was a welcome sign for the nation’s battered housing market, analysts warned that the increase could be short lived.

“With new home sales still falling and the months’ supply at a record, there is no reason for homebuilding to rise,” wrote Ian Sheperdson, chief U.S. economist at High Frequency Economics in a research note. “This is a temporary rebound, not a recovery.”

New home construction surged in the Northeast, jumping nearly 89% last month. Starts also increased in the Midwest and the South.

In the West, where the housing market was overbuilt in the boom years and where there is a glut of foreclosed homes, starts declined nearly 25% versus the previous month.

Jerry Campbell - The Muljat Group - Bellingham WA - Bellingham Real Estate

Bellingham WA - in a recent survey more than half of the real estate agents who responded think the national real estate market will finally hit bottom sometime early in 2009, according to the Campbell Communications marketing-research firm. Fifty-two percent of agents who took the survey said the country should see the bottom of the housing market in the first six months of 2009. Additionally, 7.7 percent said prices have already bottomed out, and 16.5 percent believed that the bottom will happen in 2010 or later.

Traditionally, by the time you get to March, you’re entering into the spring-summer homebuying season, and that’s when sales pick up. If interests rates are still under 6% by then and home prices are still soft, we should start to see some improvements in our local Bellingham real estate market. Sales this year have been down about 32% across the board, if you include all of Whatcom County’s home sales.

So if the survey is correct, then what the real estate agents are saying is that as sales pick up, prices are also going to firm up or solidify at some point. I think locally as we approach the end of 2009 and the spotlight starts to shine on the Vancouver 2010 Winter Olympics we will most definetly see our Whatcom County real estate market return to normal.

In the survey, more than 2,500 real-estate agents also identified the three most resilient markets in the nation for selling homes. They mentioned that if they had to pick three states in the country that are large states and where property values really haven’t declined that much and employment has held up, the three states that would fit that criteria would be Texas, North Carolina and Washington state. It seems like every article that has been written during the past three years always includes Washington State and the Puget Sound region as one of the top performing areas in the country.

The biggest problem were having in Bellingham is that buyers that want to buy have to sell their current Bellingham home first. This creates a challenge for both home buyers and home sellers in making successful transactions.

Some of the fears home buyers have are with the difficulty in obtaining financing and the thought that home prices will continue to fall. Most Bellingham Mortgage lenders that I have talked to though, say that locally, lending has not been anything near as bad as other areas of the country. Locally, you can get thirty year fixed mortgages at around 5.75%, which is pretty good coupled with lower home prices.

I think people are just waiting to hear that the market has hit bottom, and once that reasonates through the markets, that’s when you will see buyers return in numbers. Right now, home buyers just seem afraid to purchase a home and then have their home value decline immediately by 10 percent or so based on what is happening to other properties in some communities across the nation.

But I also belief that some sellers are are also a little unrealistic about what their home is worth on the market, pricing it well above the going rate. When your in a down market or soft market like this, the last thing you want to do is price your home above the market. If you take this approach and home prices continue to drop, the home seller will be chasing a down market and end up getting less than if they had priced it right to begin with.

Well, lets see what happens this coming spring and hope that our Bellingham real estate and Bellingham homes for sale markets will begin to return to something more normal.

 Jerry Campbell - Muljat Group - Bellingham WA - Bellingham Real Estate

Sales of previously owned U.S. homes rose 5.5 percent for September 2008. This was the biggest gain since July 2003, and the inventory of unsold homes fell 1.6 percent. Sales additionally were up 1.4 percent from September of 2007, the first year over year increase in three years. Hopefully this is a sign the housing market could be stabilizing and we can finally reach a bottom. Were hopeful in my own local Bellingham real estate housing market. 

September sales of existing homes rose to a 5.18 million unit annual rate from the 4.91 million unit pace set in August. Economists had expected sales to rise to only a 4.93 million unit rate. The positive number is important because this is the highest number of sales since August of 2007. In a real estate market like this, a .25 (25,000 units) above the expert’s expectations is a nice surprise to the upside.

The increase in sales was spurred, in part, by a rise in foreclosure and other distress sales in regions of the country hard-hit by the ongoing housing downturn. The foreclosed units are making it’s way through the market & the faster we can get these through the market the faster we can get back to a market resembling something more normal. However, 82% of the sales were homeowners that were living in their homes and that’s a very positive sign.

Leading the way were home sales here in the West recording a 16.8 percent jump. The Midwest saw an increase of 4.4 percent and the South saw a 2.2 percent rise. In the Northeast, sales fell 1.2 percent.

In some regions like the West, the lower prices are seeing buyers return to the marketplace. This was a nice jump and hopefully this trend can continue because the first step in stabilizing the housing market is an increase in home sales.

A huge supply of unsold homes, tighter lending standards and record foreclosures have pushed down home prices. The number of homes unsold in the market also went down last month which was another good sign.

However, For the 12 months ending in August, U.S. home prices fell 5.9 percent, and the cumulative decline since the April 2007 peak is 6.5 percent, according to the Federal Housing Finance Agency’s House Price Index. The closer we are to a bottom we should start seeing more and more signs like this with buyers getting back into the market place. Via CNBC News.

Jerry Campbell | Muljat Group | Bellinghma WA | Bellingham WA Real Estate

Former Federal Reserve chairman Alan Greenspan said on Friday Oct 10, that the U.S. housing market should begin to recover in the first half of 2009, according to an article he wrote for Emerging Markets magazine.

Greenspan wrote that “the recent slowing in the rate of decline in U.S. home prices is the first positive note in the year-long trauma and that eventually, frozen credit markets will thaw as frightened investors take tentative steps toward reengagement with risk. More conclusive signs of pending home price stability are likely to become visible in the first half of 2009″.

I would have to agree that once the housing market finds it’s footing, financial markets will be able to tackle the main issues related to this credit crisis. The question remains though on how much overall deleveraging is going to be required to get investors to again become committed holders, at modest interest rates, of the liabilities of the world’s financial institutions.

It’s at least assuring to know that Alan Greenspan, one of the smartest money managers in the world, sees an end in sight to this tail spin our economy has been in lately. I think the Northwest will be one of the first areas to recover since we had far less to do with subprime loans than most areas of the country.

Jerry Campbell - Muljat Group - Bellingham Homes For Sale

Pending sales of existing U.S. homes unexpectedly rose in August to the highest gain in over a year, this is according to data from the National Association of Realtors. The NAR Pending Home Sales Index, based on written purchase & sale contracts, rose 7.4 percent in August to 93.4 on pent-up demand as affordability improved.

Most of the recent turmoil in the national & global financial markets have escalated since the August pendings, so I’m sure that number will actually have to be revised depending on how many pendings fail to close.

August’s reading was 8.8 percent higher than a year earlier and was the highest since 101.4 in June 2007. Economists in a recent poll had expected sales to drop by 1.8 percent.

“What we’re seeing is the momentum of people taking advantage of low home prices,” NAR’s senior economist Lawrence Yun said in a statement.“Home buyers in July were hampered by overly stringent lending criteria in the months before the government takeover of Fannie and Freddie,” in early September, he said. “August shows some unleashing of pent-up demand before the credit crisis accelerated in September.” Pending home sales gained across all regions in August: up 18.4 percent in the West, 8.4 percent in the Northeast, 3.6 percent in the Midwest and 2.3 percent in the South.

However, I’m wondering if this is really a sign of where this market is going or not, because some of those numbers are foreclosed homes at bargain prices upping the numbers. In my area of Bellingham, WA I’m personally not seeing a lot of foreclosures, but they are out there certainly.  It’s been said that Housing at first impacted the economy and the economy is now impacting housing in a vicious cycle.

The NAR is also forecasting that U.S. existing home sales will be at 5.04 million this year, rising to 5.41 million in 2009, and new home sales of 503,000, falling to 471,000 next year. Housing starts, including multifamily units, should drop 28.2 percent to 973,000 units this year, and fall further to 843,000 in 2009 as builders clear their current inventory.

Jerry Campbell - Muljat Group - Bellingham Real Estate

Bellingham, WA -  With a strong local economy and favorable home buying conditions this  will prove to be a good time to buy or sell a home. There’s just too many economic conditions in place for home buyers, that are positioned to purchase a home, to ignore any longer.

Now is a good time to buy and sell real estate in Whatcom County, no matter what people may be hearing about the national market. The national media has focused too much on negative things that they only contribute to housing and economic problems instead of help. Thats the news cycle in general though, they tend to focus on negatives and rarely talk about the positive things in life. It’s unfortunate but very much true.

The Puget Sound economy is strong, unemployment rates are low, interest rates are low, local housing inventory is good and the return to good safe mortgage loans are back. It’s not a bad time to sell, especially if sellers will be turning around and buying, but sellers need to be flexible at the negotiating table in this type of market. With rental prices climbing over the last two years with less buyers in the market, It makes more sense to buy then rent currently. Coupled with the fact that home prices have plateaued or declined bodes well for home buyers.

I would have to agree with so many that a lot of the housing problems could be pointed firmly at the media, who are confusing the public by publishing headlines designed to appeal to emotions and reports that use local and national information to distort the truth at times. For them to report about the high number of subprime loans in the south and some how use that for the Northwest is confusing. The Northwest never got into the subprime loans on the scale of a lot of southern states, so no wonder we are doing so much better. But unfortunately that news is not getting out as much as the bad news from other parts of the country.

Limits on Federal Housing Administration loans were recently raised, which should give buyers more homes to choose from at favorable mortgage rates. Hopefully a bill that would lower the down payment requirement for FHA loans from 3 percent to 1.5 percent, making the loans more accessible to first-time buyers gets passed.

This past week both Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac were allowed to lower the amount of funds they kept in security from 30% down to 20%, freeing up two hundred billion for mortgages as well.

The subprime mortgage mess has made lenders return to “old school” restrictions and requirements. Buyers may have to get help from family rather than use a riskier loan. I think in the end it will be much better for buyers who use discipline in budgeting and learn to save for a down payment instead of securing no down payment loans of the past which teaches buyers nothing.

This “normalizing” of the market gives people a chance to take a few months and get their finances in order before purchasing a home.  I think if buyers put more of their own hard earned money in to a home, they will become less likely to fall behind in payments and go into foreclosure.

Jerry Campbell - Muljat Group - Bellingham WA - Bellingham Homes For Sale

The US Government announced Wednesday that it is freeing up billions of dollars at Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, so that the two companies can help homeowners refinance mortgages on the brink of default. This will have a huge impact over the next year to help homeowners get out from under these tough loans of the past.

The Office of Federal Housing Enterprise Oversight, which oversees the government-sponsored companies, unveiled a plan to ease mandatory capital requirements now in place. It said the plan is expected to result in an immediate infusion of up to $200 billion into the market for mortgage-backed securities.

Now nearly $20 billion for the two - will be reduced by a third under the new deal. The freed-up money will go toward buying mortgages of struggling homeowners to enable them to refinance into more affordable loans.

The announcement is part of a large number of government actions revealed lately aimed helping the financial markets and protecting the economy from recession. The capacity of Fannie and Freddie will permit them to do more in the jumbo temporary conforming market, subprime refinancing and loan modifications areas.

These type of announcements don’t get much headlines with the general public, but are usually the type of decisions that make the most impact. If your a homeowner in our Northwest corner and have been thinking of refinancing or buying a home…there is good news on the horizon. Now we just need a little bit of a trickle down effect from the three quarters percent drop in rates, to home loans.

Once the housing market can get some footing under neath it by stopping the deflation of housing values, is really when we will see a recovery. This news today with the freeing up of capital from Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac was the kind of stimulus that might get the housing market going again.

Jerry Campbell - Muljat Group - Bellingham, WA - Bellingham WA Real Estate

The Fed’s action lowers the funds rate to 2.25 percent, the lowest since February 2005, and comes two days after the central bank announced the latest in a series of emergency measures to stem a fast-spreading global financial crisis. The Fed has now cut rates by 3 percentage points since mid-September, including 2 points since the start of the year. 

In recent days, the central bank has also offered to help financial institutions as well by providing access to liquid funds. The central bank is pulling out all the stops to provide liquidity to financial markets and put a floor under an economy many analysts believe is in recession. 

The Fed, fearing financial markets would freeze up and send the economy into an sharp downward spiral, has offered cash auctions and direct loans to financial institutions, opening those liquidity avenues beyond the banks that normally deal with the Fed to include other Wall Street firms. 

The good thing is that the global economy is doing pretty good and especially in China where they are experiencing a boom. Our nations steel industry is actually on a rebound and looks to do pretty good. 

Jerry Campbell - Muljat Group - Bellingham WA - Bellingham Real Estate