Will Northwest buck Housing Slump
Puget Sound - It’s the kind of house that a year or two ago would have been snapped up in days: a refurbished rambler in a woodsy residential neighborhood minutes from downtown. The asking price: $559,000.
But after seven weeks, the sellers had not received a single offer on their Wedgwood home. The sellers really believed there would be no problem selling, But the whole feel of the real estate market has changed. They might have to drop the price.
These Puget Sound sellers, along with local real estate agents and economists, wonder whether sluggish sales are part of the winter slump or a sign that Seattle, a perennial most-livable-city contender, is joining the rest of the country in declining home sales. The question has put many locals on edge.
Right now there’s not that urgency among buyers to pull the trigger, is the feeling among many local real estate agents. Buyers in Bellingham seem to be taking their time as well in our slowed down Bellingham real estate market. Lots of fence sitting going on up here in Whatcom County but lets see what will happen later this summer.
If sales are sluggish during the traditionally hot-selling months of February through April, then people will have a better idea whether the Seattle market and the Pugets Sound Region has joined the national trend.
Of 20 major U.S. metropolitan areas, all but three markets; Seattle; Portland, Ore.; and Charlotte, N.C., experienced a decline in real estate values this October compared with last October, according to the Standard & Poor’s/Case-Shiller composite price index.
Home prices have fallen most in the Midwest, Southwest, Florida and California. In Los Angeles, prices fell 8.8 percent; in New York, 4.1 percent.
Seattle prices increased 3.3 percent, but that was the smallest year-to-year rise for the city in more than a decade. The annual appreciation in Seattle has been slowing for more than a year and a half.
Some economists say it’s only a matter of time before Seattle joins the national slump. Although the city experienced a year-to-year increase, October prices fell 0.9 percent from September, the third consecutive monthly decline.
“There’s no real reason for it to slow in our state, but for the fact that people are watching what’s going on around the national economy,” Chris Gregoire, Washington governor said during the unveiling of a budget proposal in Olympia.
Seattle, WA and Portland, OR have bucked the trend partly because each has a relatively healthy local economy and all three continue to draw newcomers, which keeps demand steady.
Seattle has three ingredients that work together to keep home prices high, according to Seattle-area real estate blogger Larry Cragun: “lakes, mountains and democrats.”
The lakes and mountains don’t need explaining. The Democrats, Cragun said, have created such an anti-development atmosphere that available land for building homes is extremely limited.
“When you only have a certain amount of land to build on, the value of that land tends to run up,” said Cragun, who has been in the local real estate and mortgage business for three decades and blogs at Real EstateUndressed.com. But Seattle has “experienced the worst of it” already, he said, and will rebound soon.
The Dittmaiers family have purchased a new house nearby, and have been moving to the new place little by little. But the transfer won’t be complete, Kristen Dittmaier said, until their old house sells. Not to mention that the couple soon will be forced to make two mortgage payments if the Wedgwood house remains unsold.
Meanwhile, Dittmaier said, she has not seen the latest home-price report in the newspaper. And it’s just as well: “I don’t need to read a report to know houses are not selling as quickly as they used to.” via Herald net
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